July 8, 2013

HAIRSTON TODAY, GONE TOMORROW

Scott Hairston is no longer a Cub. The 33-year old outfielder has been traded to the Nationals for a Class A player. The Cubs also sent some salary relief ($500,000) to offset the remaining balance of the two-year, $5 million contract.

In 52 games, Hairston had 99 AB, and hit 8 HR, 19 RBI but batted .172.  His season WAR is negative 0.5, which is worse than a AAA replacement player.

Why would the Nationals want a veteran like this? The Nats have had injury problems in their outfield and may wish to solidify a home run bat off the bench.

It also seems that the Cubs are not getting very much in return for their "assets" on the 25 man roster.

How many Class A level prospects can the Cubs absorb in one year (draft and international signings plus trades)?

One must also consider the possibility that the Cubs need to move payroll in order to balance overspending on prospects. The Hairston trade will cut $2 million off the 2014 payroll.

Even though the Cubs are playing poker with Matt Garza by holding on to him to the last minute to try to get a bidding war for that trade, the risk that Garza has one or two bad outings (or gets hurt again) is growing which each start.

The two most valuable trade pieces right now are Luis Valbuena and Dioner Navarro. Valbuena because he is a utility infielder who has flashed some glove skills recently. And Navarro who has excellent pinch hitting numbers, plus he is a switch hitting catcher (a rare commodity). I would not be surprised if these two players get traded before Garza.