May 17, 2014

RUTHIAN NUMBERS

By some accounts, White Sox player Jose Abreu is putting up "Ruthian" numbers.

In his first 42 games, Abreu is hitting .271 BA, .320 OBP, .620 SLG, with 15 HR and 41 RBI. He has an in-season WAR of 1.1.

If you want to make a true comparison, you need to go back to 1922 when Babe Ruth was also 27 years old. In 1922, Ruth played in 110 games. He hit .315 BA, .434 OBP, .672 SLG with 35 HR and 96 RBI.

Abreu will have the opportunity to play more games than 1922 Ruth.

But if we confine the ratio to Ruth's GP, Abreu would project o 39.28 HR and 107.38 RBI.  Abreu's numbers calculate to +12.2 percent in HRs and +11.8 percent in RBIs.

The White Sox would be happy if Abreu ends the season hitting 39 HR, 107 RBI, .271 BA and 4.4 WAR.