1992 DRAFT

Derek Jeter has officially announced his retirement. 2014 will be his last season for the Yankees. Troubled by nagging injuries the last few years, Jeter is expected to be a first ballot Hall of Famer.

He was drafted in 1992 by the Yankees.

This draft shows what the promise and expectation is for prospects, but history reveals reality. From wikipedia:

First round selections

Pick	Player	Team	Position	School
1	Phil Nevin	Houston Astros	Third baseman	Cal State Fullerton
2	Paul Shuey	Cleveland Indians	Pitcher	University of North Carolina
3	B. J. Wallace	Montreal Expos	Pitcher	Mississippi State University
4	Jeffrey Hammonds	Baltimore Orioles	Outfielder	Stanford University
5	Chad Mottola	Cincinnati Reds	Outfielder	University of Central Florida
6	Derek Jeter	New York Yankees	Shortstop	Kalamazoo Central High School
7	Calvin Murray	San Francisco Giants	Outfielder	University of Texas
8	Pete Janicki	California Angels	Pitcher	UCLA
9	Preston Wilson	New York Mets	Shortstop	Bamberg Erhardt High School
10	Michael Tucker	Kansas City Royals	Shortstop	Longwood University
11	Derek Wallace	Chicago Cubs	Pitcher	Pepperdine University
12	Kenny Felder	Milwaukee Brewers	Outfielder	Florida State University
13	Chad McConnell	Philadelphia Phillies	Outfielder	Creighton University
14	Ron Villone	Seattle Mariners	Pitcher	University of Massachusetts
15	Sean Lowe	St. Louis Cardinals	Pitcher	Arizona State University
16	Rick Greene	Detroit Tigers	Pitcher	Louisiana State University
17	Jim Pittsley	Kansas City Royals[Compensation 1]	Pitcher	Dubois Area High School
18	Chris Roberts	New York Mets[Compensation 2]	Pitcher	Florida State University
19	Shannon Stewart	Toronto Blue Jays[Compensation 3]	Outfielder	Miami Southridge Senior High School
20	Benji Grigsby	Oakland Athletics	Pitcher	San Diego State University
21	Jamie Arnold	Atlanta Braves	Pitcher	Osceola High School
22	Rick Helling	Texas Rangers	Pitcher	Stanford University
23	Jason Kendall	Pittsburgh Pirates	Catcher	Torrance High School
24	Eddie Pearson	Chicago White Sox	First baseman	Bishop State Junior College
25	Todd Steverson	Toronto Blue Jays	Outfielder	Arizona State University
26	Dan Serafini	Minnesota Twins	Pitcher	Serra High School
27	John Burke	Colorado Rockies	Pitcher	University of Florida
28	Charles Johnson	Florida Marlins	Catcher	University of Miami
29	Jeff Schmidt	California Angels[Compensation 4]	Pitcher	University of Minnesota
30	Jon Ward	New York Mets[Compensation 5]	Pitcher	Huntington Beach High School
31	Sherard Clinkscales	Kansas City Royals[Compensation 6]	Pitcher	Purdue University
32	Ryan Luzinski	Los Angeles Dodgers[Compensation 7]	Catcher	Holy Cross High School
33	Shon Walker	Pittsburgh Pirates[Compensation 8]	Outfielder	Harrison County High School
34	Brandon Cromer	Toronto Blue Jays[Compensation 9]	Shortstop	Lexington High School
35	Johnny Damon	Kansas City Royals[Compensation 10]	Outfielder	Dr. Phillips High School
36	Michael Moore	Los Angeles Dodgers[Compensation 11]	Outfielder	UCLA
37	Kendall Rhine	Houston Astros[Compensation 12]	Pitcher	University of Georgia
38	Gabby Martinez	Milwaukee Brewers[Compensation 13]	Shortstop	Luchetti High School

Only seven players of the 38 first round selections made an All-Star team. That is only an 18 percent impact player ratio. And of these selections, only Jeter stands out which shows that there is really only a 2.5 percent chance that first rounder could be a Hall of Fame talent.