June 1, 2014

CORE UPDATE

Mark Gonzalez of the Tribune has a Cubs "core" four prospect update. Going into this weekend:

JAVIER BAEZ
Shortstop, Iowa Cubs (AAA)
Friday’s game:  at Memphis, 1-for-4, 1 stolen base, 2 strikeouts
Trending: 3 for 14, 6 strikeouts
Season so far:  43 games, .224 batting average, 7 home runs, 25 RBIs

KRIS BRYANT
Third baseman, Tennessee (AA)
Friday’s game: At Huntsville: 1-for-3, 1 home run, 1 walk, 1 strikeout
Trending: 5 homers in past 7 games
Season so far: 53 games, .347 batting average, 17 home runs, 46 RBIs

JORGE SOLER
Outfielder, Tennessee (AA)
Injured  (hamstring)
Season so far:  7 games, .333 average, 0 home runs, 7 RBIs

ALBERT ALMORA
Outfielder, Daytona Beach (A)
Friday’s Game:  1-for-4, 1 double, 2 strikeouts
Trending: 1-for-12, 5 strikeouts
Season so far: 47 games, .259 average, 2 home runs, 24 RBIs

What can we make of these stats?

First, Baez tore up two lower levels of the minors last season. But in each stage of promotion, especially at AAA, he will face stronger competition (including ex-major leaguers). He did have a minor injury, but it seems he is pressing to make a final impression. At least that is the hope. Otherwise, he may one of those players who tops out at AA ball.

Second, Bryant is the real deal. He continues to hit for average and power. One would expect him to move up to AAA late this summer. He could be on the Cub roster in 2015.

Third, Almora does appear to be stuck in A ball. He is younger than the other core prospects, but as a top draft pick one would think he would have progressed faster based upon his scouting report. He also has had a series of minor injuries, but it is too early to say he is an injury risk.

Fourth, Soler is crawling towards the "bust" bin. He has been hurt. He has not made any impact in the low minors except for his mental breakdowns. His stock is dropping fast on independent prospect ranking boards. He should have been on the same path as Baez. It is now a long shot to count Soler as a major league prospect.